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␈↓ α∧␈↓α␈↓ ∧nENDING DEPENDENCE ON AMERICA

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTMy␈αthesis␈αis␈αthat␈αforeign␈αcountries␈αhave␈αbecome␈αdependent␈αon␈αAmerica␈αto␈αan␈αextent␈αthat␈αis
␈↓ α∧␈↓bad␈αfor␈α
us␈αand␈α
them,␈αand␈α
that␈αAmerica␈αshould␈α
end␈αthis␈α
dependence␈αby␈α
becoming␈αas␈αnationalist␈α
as
␈↓ α∧␈↓(say)␈αFrance.␈α Ending␈αthis␈αdependence␈αmay␈αbe␈αquite␈αexpensive␈α-␈αwe␈αmay␈αlose␈αa␈αEuropean␈αcountry
␈↓ α∧␈↓to the Communists, but the alternatives are probably worse.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTOrdinarily,␈α
analogies␈α
between␈α
the␈α
behavior␈α
of␈α
individuals␈α
and␈α
the␈α
behavior␈α
of␈α
countries␈α
are
␈↓ α∧␈↓not␈αvery␈αgood,␈αbut␈αthe␈αrelation␈αbetween␈αour␈α"allies"␈αand␈αourselves␈αare␈αvery␈αlike␈αthose␈αbetween␈αan
␈↓ α∧␈↓adolescent␈α∪and␈α∪his␈α∪parents.␈α∀ At␈α∪the␈α∪end␈α∪of␈α∪World␈α∀War␈α∪II,␈α∪when␈α∪Europe␈α∪and␈α∀Japan␈α∪were
␈↓ α∧␈↓devastated␈αand␈αthe␈αU.S.␈αwas␈αat␈αthe␈αheight␈αof␈αits␈αprosperity,␈αnational␈αunity,␈αand␈αtechnological␈αlead,
␈↓ α∧␈↓the␈α
U.S.␈α
 quite␈α
properly␈α
organized␈α
the␈α
Western␈α
countries,␈α
both␈α
for␈α
their␈α
economic␈α
recovery␈αand␈α
for
␈↓ α∧␈↓the␈α∃common␈α∀defense␈α∃against␈α∀Communist␈α∃expansionism.␈α∀ At␈α∃first,␈α∀the␈α∃alliance␈α∃was␈α∀genuine,
␈↓ α∧␈↓considering␈α
the␈αrelative␈α
strengths␈αof␈α
its␈αmembers,␈α
and␈αthe␈α
allies␈αcontributed␈α
at␈αleast␈α
token␈αforces␈α
in
␈↓ α∧␈↓the Korean war which was the first test of strength with Communism.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTBy␈α∞the␈α∂time␈α∞of␈α∂the␈α∞Vietnam␈α∂war,␈α∞the␈α∂alliance␈α∞had␈α∂disintegrated,␈α∞and␈α∂the␈α∞major␈α∂allies␈α∞all
␈↓ α∧␈↓found␈α∞reasons␈α∂for␈α∞not␈α∂helping␈α∞defend␈α∞South␈α∂Vietnam␈α∞against␈α∂Communist␈α∞expansion.␈α∂ If␈α∞South
␈↓ α∧␈↓Korea␈α∂is␈α⊂attacked␈α∂again,␈α∂it␈α⊂is␈α∂entirely␈α⊂clear␈α∂that␈α∂the␈α⊂allies␈α∂will␈α⊂not␈α∂help␈α∂at␈α⊂all,␈α∂no␈α⊂matter␈α∂how
␈↓ α∧␈↓blatant␈α∞the␈α∞aggression;␈α∂the␈α∞only␈α∞question␈α∞is␈α∂whether␈α∞the␈α∞United␈α∞States␈α∂will␈α∞live␈α∞up␈α∞to␈α∂its␈α∞stated
␈↓ α∧␈↓commitments.␈α The␈αissue␈αof␈αresponsibility␈αfor␈αthe␈αdisintegration␈αof␈αNATO␈αis␈αalso␈αput␈αin␈αterms␈αof
␈↓ α∧␈↓whether the U.S. will live up to its commitments.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTThe␈α∞reason␈α∞we␈α∞have␈α∞gotten␈α∞into␈α∞this␈α∂state␈α∞is␈α∞clear.␈α∞ As␈α∞long␈α∞as␈α∞the␈α∞U.S.␈α∂commitment␈α∞was
␈↓ α∧␈↓open␈αended,␈αone␈αEuropean␈αpolitician␈αcould␈αalways␈αoutflank␈αanother␈αon␈αthe␈αleft␈α-␈αby␈αpromising␈αto
␈↓ α∧␈↓do␈α
less␈α
for␈α
the␈αcommon␈α
defense␈α
and␈α
finding␈αmore␈α
captious␈α
reasons␈α
to␈αjustify␈α
it.␈α
 Such␈α
a␈αpolicy␈α
had
␈↓ α∧␈↓the␈α
further␈α
advantage␈α
that␈α
it␈α
contributed␈α
to␈α∞the␈α
prosperity␈α
of␈α
his␈α
country␈α
by␈α
saving␈α∞money.␈α
 As
␈↓ α∧␈↓long␈α
as␈α
America␈αwas␈α
far␈α
richer␈α
than␈αall␈α
European␈α
countries,␈α
it␈αmet␈α
the␈α
further␈α
justification␈αthat
␈↓ α∧␈↓even␈α∀with␈α∀its␈α∀larger␈α∃per␈α∀capita␈α∀percentage␈α∀contribution,␈α∃Americans␈α∀were␈α∀still␈α∀better␈α∃off␈α∀as
␈↓ α∧␈↓individuals.␈α The␈αfact␈α
that␈αthis␈αis␈αno␈α
longer␈αtrue␈αhasn't␈αchanged␈α
the␈αrelation␈αof␈α
dependency,␈αand
␈↓ α∧␈↓only␈α∂U.S.␈α∂rejection␈α∂of␈α∂the␈α∂relation␈α∂will␈α∂do␈α∂so.␈α∂ Doing␈α∂so␈α∂will␈α∂generate␈α∂a␈α∂storm␈α∂of␈α∂weeping␈α∞and
␈↓ α∧␈↓wailing such hasn't been seen before, but the Europeans will survive it.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTAnother␈αfactor␈α
that␈αencouraged␈α
the␈αdependency␈α
was␈αthe␈α
desire␈αto␈α
prevent␈αnuclear␈αspread␈α
by
␈↓ α∧␈↓having␈αthe␈αU.S.␈αtake␈αthe␈αresponsibility␈αfor␈αthe␈αnuclear␈αdefense␈αof␈αEurope.␈α This␈αwas␈αa␈αgood␈αthing
␈↓ α∧␈↓to␈αtry,␈αbut␈αit␈αcontributed␈αto␈αthe␈αdependency␈αthat␈αled␈αto␈αEuropeans␈αabandoning␈αresponsibilities␈αfor
␈↓ α∧␈↓free␈α∂world␈α∂interests␈α⊂outside␈α∂Europe.␈α∂ If␈α⊂it␈α∂makes␈α∂any␈α⊂difference,␈α∂the␈α∂development␈α⊂of␈α∂European
␈↓ α∧␈↓moral␈α⊂one-upness␈α⊂with␈α∂respect␈α⊂to␈α⊂the␈α∂U.S.␈α⊂is␈α⊂one␈α⊂of␈α∂the␈α⊂main␈α⊂reasons␈α∂why␈α⊂we␈α⊂can␈α⊂no␈α∂longer
␈↓ α∧␈↓defend␈α
them.␈α
 Perhaps␈α
they␈α
can␈α
develop␈α
some␈α
kind␈α
of␈α
joint␈α
deterrent,␈α
but␈α
we␈α
must␈α
retire␈α
to␈α
the
␈↓ α∧␈↓role␈α
we␈αhad␈α
at␈α
the␈αbeginning␈α
of␈α
World␈αWar␈α
II␈α
-␈αa␈α
distant␈α
potential␈αally␈α
that␈α
may␈αstep␈α
in␈α
if␈αthe
␈↓ α∧␈↓situation gets sufficiently desperate after the Europeans have already done their best.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTThis␈αdependency␈αrelation␈αencouraged␈αthe␈αcriticism␈αof␈αthe␈αU.S.␈α that␈αhelped␈αlead␈αto␈αthe␈αU.S.
␈↓ α∧␈↓losing␈α∂confidence␈α∞that␈α∂it␈α∞was␈α∂fighting␈α∞tyranny␈α∂rather␈α∞than␈α∂supporting␈α∞it␈α∂and␈α∞to␈α∂the␈α∞consequent
␈↓ α∧␈↓abandonment␈αof␈αthe␈αVietnamese␈αafter␈αthey␈αhad␈αfinally␈αreached␈αthe␈αpoint␈αof␈αdefending␈αthemselves
␈↓ α∧␈↓with␈α⊗U.S.␈α∃ material␈α⊗support.␈α∃ (Of␈α⊗course,␈α∃the␈α⊗Vietnamese␈α∃reached␈α⊗the␈α∃point␈α⊗of␈α∃defending
␈↓ α∧␈↓themselves␈α∞only␈α
when␈α∞it␈α
became␈α∞clear␈α
that␈α∞the␈α
U.S.␈α∞ground␈α
troops␈α∞were␈α
going␈α∞to␈α∞be␈α
withdrawn,


␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ ε|1␈↓ ∧



␈↓ α∧␈↓and␈αdidn't␈αgive␈αup␈αuntil␈αit␈αbecame␈αclear␈αthat␈αthe␈αU.S.␈α Congress␈αwas␈αdetermined␈αthat␈αthey␈αshould
␈↓ α∧␈↓lose␈α∞and␈α∞would␈α∞do␈α∞whatever␈α
was␈α∞necessary␈α∞to␈α∞insure␈α∞that␈α
result.␈α∞ The␈α∞U.S.␈α∞will␈α∞only␈α∞recover␈α
its
␈↓ α∧␈↓morale␈αfully␈α
when␈αit␈α
becomes␈αaccepted␈α
that␈αwe␈α
did␈αwrong␈α
in␈αabandoning␈α
the␈αVietnamese,␈αbut␈α
that
␈↓ α∧␈↓may␈αtake␈α
until␈αpeople␈αwho␈α
had␈αa␈α
hand␈αin␈αthe␈α
disaster␈αno␈αlonger␈α
dominate␈αpolicy).␈α
 Actually,␈αthe
␈↓ α∧␈↓Nixon␈αpolicy␈αvery␈αnearly␈αsaved␈αSouth␈αVietnam␈αand␈αmight␈αhave␈αsucceeded␈αif␈αhe␈αhadn't␈α
convinced
␈↓ α∧␈↓himself that unconstitutional methods were justified in fighting off his attackers.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTThe␈α⊃basic␈α⊂fact␈α⊃about␈α⊃dependency␈α⊂is␈α⊃that␈α⊃as␈α⊂long␈α⊃as␈α⊂one␈α⊃can␈α⊃count␈α⊂on␈α⊃someone␈α⊃else␈α⊂to
␈↓ α∧␈↓provide␈α
some␈α
kind␈α
of␈α∞help␈α
free␈α
of␈α
charge,␈α∞one␈α
does␈α
so.␈α
 Parents␈α∞often␈α
have␈α
to␈α
force␈α∞children␈α
to
␈↓ α∧␈↓support␈α⊂themselves,␈α∂even␈α⊂though␈α∂our␈α⊂culture␈α∂indoctrinates␈α⊂them␈α∂into␈α⊂expecting␈α∂to␈α⊂do␈α⊂so.␈α∂ The
␈↓ α∧␈↓United␈α∞States␈α∞can␈α
claim␈α∞no␈α∞special␈α
virtue␈α∞in␈α∞the␈α
matter;␈α∞whenever␈α∞a␈α
group␈α∞in␈α∞our␈α∞population␈α
-
␈↓ α∧␈↓whether␈α∂it␈α∂be␈α∂the␈α∂airlines,␈α∂the␈α∂oil␈α⊂drillers,␈α∂people␈α∂on␈α∂welfare,␈α∂or␈α∂professors␈α∂-␈α∂has␈α⊂succeeded␈α∂in
␈↓ α∧␈↓grabbing␈α∂onto␈α⊂a␈α∂teat␈α∂of␈α⊂the␈α∂sow,␈α∂it␈α⊂hangs␈α∂on␈α∂for␈α⊂dear␈α∂life.␈α∂ If␈α⊂Martians␈α∂came␈α∂down␈α⊂in␈α∂flying
␈↓ α∧␈↓saucers␈α∞and␈α∞offered␈α
first␈α∞to␈α∞make␈α
up␈α∞New␈α∞York␈α
City's␈α∞deficit␈α∞and␈α
later␈α∞the␈α∞national␈α∞deficit,␈α
the
␈↓ α∧␈↓offer␈αwould␈αbe␈αaccepted␈αand␈αour␈αdependence␈αon␈αthem␈αwould␈αcome␈αto␈αbe␈αtaken␈αas␈αmatter␈αof␈αright,
␈↓ α∧␈↓and we wouldn't be grateful.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTThe␈α⊂relation␈α∂of␈α⊂the␈α⊂underdeveloped␈α∂countries␈α⊂to␈α∂the␈α⊂developed␈α⊂ones,␈α∂and␈α⊂to␈α⊂the␈α∂United
␈↓ α∧␈↓States␈α∞in␈α∞particular,␈α∞has␈α∞been␈α∞similar.␈α∞ A␈α∞reaction␈α∞to␈α∞this␈α∞dependence␈α∞has␈α∂eventually␈α∞developed.
␈↓ α∧␈↓Consider␈αthat␈αIndia␈αeventually␈αbecame␈αhostile␈α
to␈αthe␈αUnited␈αStates.␈α Consider␈αthat␈αhaving␈α
become
␈↓ α∧␈↓hostile,␈α∂they␈α∂are␈α∂now␈α∂beginning␈α∂to␈α∂implement␈α∂compulsory␈α∂birth␈α∂control␈α∂-␈α∂something␈α∂that␈α∞could
␈↓ α∧␈↓never␈α⊃have␈α⊃been␈α⊂implemented␈α⊃as␈α⊃long␈α⊃as␈α⊂we␈α⊃were␈α⊃considered␈α⊂their␈α⊃friends.␈α⊃ Of␈α⊃course,␈α⊂their
␈↓ α∧␈↓independence␈α∪is␈α∪not␈α∪accompanied␈α∪by␈α∪good␈α∪will␈α∩towards␈α∪the␈α∪United␈α∪States;␈α∪they␈α∪had␈α∪to␈α∩tell
␈↓ α∧␈↓themselves␈αthat␈αour␈αprevious␈αaid␈αwas␈αbadly␈αmotivated,␈αand␈αnaturally␈αit␈αmade␈αmost␈αof␈αus␈αmad.␈α It
␈↓ α∧␈↓is␈αour␈αinterest,␈αand␈αprobably␈αin␈αtheirs,␈αthat␈αwe␈αstay␈αmad␈αat␈αthem␈αand␈αcertainly␈αthat␈αthey␈αstay␈αmad
␈↓ α∧␈↓at␈α∞us.␈α
 Certainly,␈α∞anything␈α
that␈α∞allows␈α∞politicians␈α
in␈α∞underdeveloped␈α
countries␈α∞to␈α∞kid␈α
themselves
␈↓ α∧␈↓and␈α⊃their␈α⊂constituents␈α⊃into␈α⊂believing␈α⊃that␈α⊂the␈α⊃developed␈α⊂countries␈α⊃can␈α⊂be␈α⊃pressured␈α⊃either␈α⊂by
␈↓ α∧␈↓moralizing␈αor␈αmilitarism␈αinto␈αfurther␈αhandouts␈αwill␈αonly␈αdelay␈αtheir␈αseriously␈αundertaking␈αto␈α
solve
␈↓ α∧␈↓their␈α∀problems.␈α∀ Nor␈α∀can␈α∪we␈α∀solve␈α∀their␈α∀problems␈α∀with␈α∪any␈α∀plausible␈α∀amount␈α∀of␈α∀aid.␈α∪ All
␈↓ α∧␈↓experience␈α⊂shows␈α∂that␈α⊂when␈α⊂a␈α∂country␈α⊂without␈α⊂pre-existing␈α∂standards␈α⊂of␈α⊂performance␈α∂receives
␈↓ α∧␈↓large-scale␈α∀aid,␈α∃every␈α∀bureaucrat␈α∀finds␈α∃that␈α∀getting␈α∀his␈α∃one␈α∀of␈α∀his␈α∃cousins␈α∀safely␈α∃into␈α∀the
␈↓ α∧␈↓bureaucracy␈αtakes␈αprecedence␈αover␈αany␈αnonsense␈αthat␈αsome␈αrich␈αand␈αfoolish␈αforeigner␈αis␈αtrying␈αto
␈↓ α∧␈↓put over - no doubt for some imperialist reason.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTThe␈α⊃best␈α⊂solution␈α⊃is␈α⊂for␈α⊃the␈α⊂U.S.␈α⊃to␈α⊂adopt␈α⊃a␈α⊂technology-only␈α⊃policy␈α⊂towards␈α⊃aiding␈α⊂the
␈↓ α∧␈↓underdeveloped␈α
world␈α
except␈α∞when␈α
there␈α
is␈α∞an␈α
utter␈α
disaster.␈α
 We␈α∞should␈α
help␈α
an␈α∞utter␈α
disaster
␈↓ α∧␈↓only␈αthrough␈αa␈α
mechanism␈αin␈αwhich␈αthe␈α
country␈αdeclares␈αitself␈αadministratively␈α
bankrupt.␈α Then
␈↓ α∧␈↓we␈αtake␈αnot␈α
only␈αthe␈α␈↓↓responsibility␈↓␈α
for␈αrelieving␈αthe␈αsituation␈α
but␈αalso␈αfull␈α
␈↓↓governmental␈↓␈α␈↓↓authority␈↓
␈↓ α∧␈↓for␈α∞the␈α∞duration␈α∞of␈α∂the␈α∞crisis.␈α∞ In␈α∞other␈α∞words,␈α∂the␈α∞country␈α∞temporarily␈α∞becomes␈α∞a␈α∂colony.␈α∞ The
␈↓ α∧␈↓only␈αcase␈αin␈αwhich␈αwe␈αshould␈αaid␈αa␈α
country␈αwithout␈αthis␈αcondition,␈αis␈αwhen␈αwe␈αare␈αconvinced␈α
that
␈↓ α∧␈↓the␈α∀country␈α∪is␈α∀managing␈α∪its␈α∀affairs␈α∪almost␈α∀as␈α∪well␈α∀as␈α∪they␈α∀can␈α∪be␈α∀managed.␈α∀ Under␈α∪these
␈↓ α∧␈↓conditions, it will take a real disaster before we will be called in.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTThe␈α∂U.S.␈α∂should␈α⊂demand␈α∂that␈α∂the␈α⊂NATO␈α∂treaty␈α∂be␈α∂renegotiated␈α⊂as␈α∂a␈α∂condition␈α⊂for␈α∂our
␈↓ α∧␈↓staying␈α∂in.␈α∂ Specifically,␈α∂there␈α∂have␈α∂been␈α∂40,000␈α∂American␈α∂soldiers␈α∂in␈α∂Korea␈α∂for␈α∂25␈α∂years.␈α∞ Let
␈↓ α∧␈↓them␈αbe␈αreplaced␈αby␈α40,000␈αGerman␈αsoldiers␈αfor␈αthe␈αnext␈α25␈αyears␈αwith␈αthe␈αEuropeans␈αproviding
␈↓ α∧␈↓the␈αcomplete␈αlogistical␈αsupport␈αfor␈αthem.␈α No␈αdoubt␈αthe␈αour␈αallies␈αwill␈αreject␈αthis␈αabsurd␈αproposal


␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ ε|2␈↓ ∧



␈↓ α∧␈↓indignantly,␈α∞telling␈α∞us␈α∞that␈α∞they␈α∞don't␈α∞care␈α
about␈α∞Asia␈α∞anyway,␈α∞and,␈α∞besided,␈α∞the␈α∞South␈α
Korean
␈↓ α∧␈↓government␈α∞isn't␈α∂pure␈α∞enough␈α∞for␈α∂them.␈α∞ Our␈α∂reply␈α∞should␈α∞be␈α∂to␈α∞the␈α∞effect␈α∂that␈α∞then␈α∂they␈α∞can
␈↓ α∧␈↓handle␈α
the␈α∞next␈α
Berlin␈α∞crisis␈α
themselves.␈α∞ I␈α
don't␈α
know␈α∞whether␈α
that␈α∞would␈α
bring␈α∞them␈α
around,
␈↓ α∧␈↓but␈α
if␈α
they␈α
lost␈α
Berlin,␈αthey␈α
would␈α
be␈α
ready␈α
for␈αa␈α
genuine␈α
alliance␈α
thereafter.␈α
 They␈α
should␈αalso
␈↓ α∧␈↓commit themselves to defend the existence of Israel.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTBesides␈α
the␈αdanger␈α
of␈α
losing␈αBerlin,␈α
which␈α
is␈αmore␈α
a␈α
danger␈αto␈α
the␈α
Germans␈αthan␈α
it␈α
is␈αto␈α
us,
␈↓ α∧␈↓there␈α
is␈α
the␈α
additional␈α
danger␈α
that␈α
the␈α∞Germans␈α
will␈α
be␈α
motivated␈α
to␈α
acquire␈α
their␈α∞own␈α
nuclear
␈↓ α∧␈↓weapons.␈α
 Unfortunately,␈α
this␈αdanger␈α
must␈α
be␈α
accepted␈α-␈α
not␈α
only␈α
with␈αregard␈α
to␈α
the␈αGermans,␈α
but
␈↓ α∧␈↓with␈α∂regard␈α∂to␈α∂many␈α∂other␈α∂nations␈α⊂as␈α∂well.␈α∂ When␈α∂the␈α∂policeman␈α∂quits,␈α∂everyone␈α⊂must␈α∂defend
␈↓ α∧␈↓himself as best he can, and when the policeman is no longer supported, he will quit.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTThe␈αcountries␈αwith␈αthe␈αmost␈αobvious␈αneed␈αfor␈αtheir␈αown␈αnuclear␈αweapons␈αare␈αIsrael,␈αSouth
␈↓ α∧␈↓Korea,␈αTaiwan,␈α
and␈αSouth␈αAfrica.␈α
 Each␈αof␈αthem␈α
is␈αin␈αa␈α
position␈αwhere␈αits␈α
survival␈αis␈αquite␈α
likely
␈↓ α∧␈↓to␈αdepend␈αon␈αits␈αposession␈αof␈αnuclear␈αweapons.␈α In␈αthe␈αcase␈αof␈αIsrael,␈αthis␈αhas␈αalready␈αaffected␈αthe
␈↓ α∧␈↓policies␈α
of␈α
its␈α
neighbors.␈α
 It␈α
seems␈α
clear␈α
that␈α
Egypt␈α
has␈α
concluded␈α
that␈α
there␈α
is␈α
no␈α
real␈α
policy␈α
of
␈↓ α∧␈↓eliminating␈αIsrael␈αwithout␈αself-destruction.␈α The␈α
other␈αArab␈αstates␈αprobably␈αalso␈α
understand␈αthis,
␈↓ α∧␈↓but␈αgroups␈α
within␈αthese␈αcountries␈α
still␈αhave␈αmuch␈α
to␈αgain␈αby␈α
pretending␈αotherwise.␈α The␈α
posession
␈↓ α∧␈↓of␈α∂nuclear␈α∂weapons␈α∞by␈α∂these␈α∂countries␈α∞represents␈α∂a␈α∂danger␈α∞to␈α∂the␈α∂United␈α∞States,␈α∂so␈α∂we␈α∂are␈α∞not
␈↓ α∧␈↓motivated␈α
to␈αhelp␈α
them␈α
acquire␈αthem,␈α
but␈αour␈α
politics␈α
now␈αprevents␈α
the␈α
kind␈αof␈α
guarantee␈αof␈α
their
␈↓ α∧␈↓security␈α⊂that␈α⊂would␈α⊂obviate␈α⊂the␈α⊂need.␈α⊂ The␈α⊂situation␈α⊂will␈α⊂become␈α⊂acute␈α⊂after␈α⊂the␈α⊂nominations,
␈↓ α∧␈↓when␈α∀it␈α∪will␈α∀become␈α∀clear␈α∪whether␈α∀the␈α∪Democratic␈α∀candidate␈α∀will␈α∪agree␈α∀to␈α∀continue␈α∪Ford's
␈↓ α∧␈↓guarantees␈αto␈αSouth␈αKorea.␈α If␈αnot,␈αthe␈αSouth␈αKoreans␈αwill␈αbe␈αwell␈αadvised␈αask␈αthe␈αU.S.␈αto␈αleave
␈↓ α∧␈↓and go all out for their own deterrent.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTIf␈α∂South␈α∂Korea␈α∞or␈α∂Israel␈α∂is␈α∞forced␈α∂to␈α∂use␈α∞or␈α∂even␈α∂brandish␈α∞nuclear␈α∂weapons␈α∂in␈α∂order␈α∞to
␈↓ α∧␈↓survive,␈α∂a␈α∂qualitatively␈α∂new␈α∞stage␈α∂in␈α∂proliferation␈α∂will␈α∂be␈α∞reached.␈α∂ Except␈α∂for␈α∂the␈α∂first␈α∞atomic
␈↓ α∧␈↓bombs␈αthat␈αended␈αWorld␈αWar␈αII␈αand␈αthe␈αfirst␈αSoviet␈αbombs␈αthat␈αended␈αthe␈αAmerican␈αmonopoly,
␈↓ α∧␈↓the␈α⊃posession␈α⊃of␈α⊂nuclear␈α⊃weapons␈α⊃has␈α⊃only␈α⊂brought␈α⊃minor␈α⊃prestige␈α⊂to␈α⊃the␈α⊃posessor␈α⊃and␈α⊂some
␈↓ α∧␈↓criticism␈α∩from␈α∩public␈α∩opinion␈α∩in␈α∩other␈α∩countries.␈α∩ As␈α∩soon␈α∩as␈α∩the␈α∩first␈α∩country␈α∪preserves␈α∩its
␈↓ α∧␈↓independence␈αby␈α
flourishing␈αnuclear␈α
weapons,␈αthe␈α
urge␈αto␈α
posess␈αthem␈α
will␈αbecome␈α
much␈αharder
␈↓ α∧␈↓to␈αresist.␈α
 Imagine␈αthe␈αeffect␈α
on␈αpublic␈αopinion␈α
in␈αJapan␈α
if␈αthe␈αdespised␈α
South␈αKoreans␈αhave␈α
their
␈↓ α∧␈↓own deterrent and it proves to deter.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTIn␈αEurope,␈αthere␈αis␈αa␈αfaint␈αhope␈αthat␈αnuclear␈αproliferation␈αmight␈αbe␈αavoided␈αby␈αthreatening
␈↓ α∧␈↓the␈α∂Russians␈α∞that␈α∂proliferation␈α∂is␈α∞the␈α∂alternative␈α∞to␈α∂a␈α∂genuine␈α∞arms␈α∂limitation␈α∂agreement.␈α∞ The
␈↓ α∧␈↓Russians␈α∂have␈α∞a␈α∂certain␈α∞sentimental␈α∂objection␈α∞to␈α∂West␈α∞German␈α∂nuclear␈α∞weapons␈α∂and␈α∂might␈α∞be
␈↓ α∧␈↓willing␈α
to␈α
pay␈α
a␈α
reasonably␈αhigh␈α
price␈α
to␈α
avoid␈α
it.␈α
 If␈αEurope␈α
would␈α
agree␈α
to␈α
a␈α
genuine␈αalliance
␈↓ α∧␈↓accepting␈α∂world-wide␈α∂responsibilities,␈α∂then␈α∞proliferation␈α∂might␈α∂be␈α∂avoided␈α∞for␈α∂a␈α∂long␈α∂time.␈α∞ As
␈↓ α∧␈↓things are going now, the Communists will push until someone deters them.

␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ αTThe␈α∞course␈α∞I␈α∞have␈α∞advocated␈α∞is␈α∞dangerous,␈α∞as␈α∞every␈α∞departure␈α∞from␈α∞established␈α∞trends␈α∞is
␈↓ α∧␈↓dangerous.␈α∩ However,␈α∩the␈α∩Kissinger␈α∩policy␈α∩of␈α∩bluff␈α∩towards␈α∩the␈α∩Russians␈α∩coupled␈α∩with␈α∩false
␈↓ α∧␈↓assurances␈α∞to␈α∞the␈α∞Europeans␈α∞of␈α∞a␈α∞unilateral␈α
American␈α∞commitment␈α∞is␈α∞a␈α∞sure␈α∞recipe␈α∞for␈α
disaster.
␈↓ α∧␈↓The␈αbluff␈αconcerning␈αa␈αreaction␈αto␈αfurther␈αCuban␈αadventures␈αin␈αAfrica␈αhas␈αa␈αhigh␈αprobability␈αof
␈↓ α∧␈↓being called very soon.



␈↓ α∧␈↓␈↓ ε|3␈↓ ∧